Thursday, March 25, 2010
With 12 million US subscribers and over 20 million Wii owners, I'm betting there's quite a bit of overlap in those populations. I'm going to conservatively guess that there are 1 million people in the US that own both Wiis and subscribe to Netflix. If just 10% of those people planned ahead and want to be able to stream video, that's 100,000 people who, tomorrow, will want to be streaming videos from Netflix servers.
Of note, "users will need at least 1Mbps to watch films", according to this Ars Technica article.
A little quick math tells me that there could be a spike in demand coming soon, to the tune of 100 Gbps. That's a hell of a lot of demand.
So you heard it here first. Like all new services, it's going to be beset by issues for the next couple of weeks. It sounds awesome, and I'm sure once demand evens out it will be, but the initial burst of interest is going to make the experience suck. Mark my words!